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Throughout the EU referendum campaign, polling has been too close to predict an easy victory for either side. And as voting closes, that’s still the case.
The final poll from YouGov gives Remain a sliver of hope with a 2 per cent lead, while ComRes puts Remain 6 per cent ahead – a sturdy margin, but one that is canceled out by other recent polling showing a clear majority for Leave or a very tight result.
The latest Brexit odds show that bookmakers continue to think Remain is the most likely outcome, and Remain will probably get the benefit of being the status quo when voters enter the polling booth. But will that be enough to compensate for a campaign that couldn’t match Leave on memorable talking points?
Read on to find out what the latest polls are saying – or come over to our EU referendum liveblog for the results as they come in.
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22 June
Remain 51%
Leave 49%
22 June (for Daily Mail/ITV News)
Remain 48%
Leave 42%
Undecided 11%
22 June
Remain 44%
Leave 45%
Don’t know 9%
21 June (for the Telegraph)
Remain 53%
Leave 46%
Don’t know 2%
* People who will definitely vote only
20 June (for the Times)
Remain 42%
Leave 44%
Don’t know 9%
Would not vote 4%
YouGov
19 June (for the Sunday Times)
Remain 44%
Leave 43%
Don’t know 9%
Would not vote 4%
17 June (for This Morning)
Remain 42%
Leave 44%
Don’t know 9%
Would not vote 5%
16 June 2016
Remain 47%
Leave 53%
14 June 2016 (for the Sun)
Remain 46%
Leave 45%
TNS
14 June 2016
Remain 40%
Leave 47%
Undecided/Would not vote 13%
13 June 2016 (for the Times)
Remain 39%
Leave 46%
Don’t know 11%
13 June 2016 (for the Guardian)
Remain 47%
Leave 53%
10 June 2016 (for the Independent)
Remain 45%
Leave 55%
Undecided 7%
31 May 2016
Remain 43%
Leave 41%
Other 16%
25 May 2016
Leave 45% (nc)
Remain 44% (+1)
Undecided 12% (-1)
Related
25 May 2016
Remain 44% (-1)
Leave 38% (NC)
Undecided 18% (+1)
18 May 2016
Remain 60%
Leave 40%