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The Staggers

The latest comment and analysis from our writers

19 December 2023

How Rwanda ruined Rishi Sunak’s year

At today’s Liaison Committee session, the Prime Minister’s “tetchiness” was on display.

By Rachel Cunliffe

Given the choice, Rishi Sunak would probably have elected to skip today’s Liaison Committee session. It has been a harrowing few months for the Prime Minister, and ending the parliamentary year with a grilling from hostile select committee chairs was never going to be on his Christmas wishlist. The aim for prime ministers during such sessions is essentially to not make news. Don’t reveal anything you don’t want to reveal, don’t get caught in any traps, and don’t lose your cool at your fellow MPs. While the weekly Prime Minister’s Questions is a sparring match – where points are won with jokes and attack lines, and style can be used to outweigh substance – the Liaison Committee requires meticulous prepping and ...

14 December 2023

Nigel Farage is one to watch in 2024

Among the new Tory base, the former Ukip leader is more popular than most cabinet ministers.

By Ben Walker

Despite standing for election to the House of Commons seven times, and losing at every attempt, Nigel Farage is, arguably, the most successful British politician this century. As we noted in our recent Right Power List, which Farage topped, he has shaped government policy not only on Brexit but on net zero, small boats and “debanking”. Farage's recent appearance on ITV’s I’m a Celebrity... Get Me Out of Here! has prompted renewed analysis of his political prospects. But what do the public make of him? The former Ukip leader is generally more disliked than liked, by a wide margin. But he enjoys favourable ratings from three in ten British voters and, among Tory supporters, this favourability extends to a majority ...

13 December 2023

PMQs review: Rishi Sunak struggles to impress his restless party

Tory MPs are not grateful for the Prime Minister or optimistic about their prospects.

By Rachel Cunliffe

There was a bounce to Rishi Sunak’s demeanour as he stepped up for the final PMQs of the year. The Rwanda bill, on which he has staked his premiership, cleared its first hurdle in the Commons last night, with the much-feared rebellion from the Tory right ending with not a single MP voting against. The real fight, of course, will come in the new year when the details of the bill are thrashed out and Sunak is pressured to fulfil promises he made to toughen it up. And one could argue that it was a significant error of judgement for the Prime Minister to allow the issue of Rwanda to become so prominent in the first place. But today Sunak ...

12 December 2023

Tusk is back

After eight years, Poland gets a new government. But Brussels shouldn’t celebrate yet.

By Wolfgang Münchau

It has happened at last. Two months after the Polish elections, Donald Tusk was elected prime minister by the Polish parliament yesterday (11 December) after Mateusz Morawiecki’s incumbent government lost a confidence vote in the Sejm, the parliament's lower house. The Law and Justice party (PiS)'s eight years in power are over, for now. There are high expectations for Tusk from Brussels and other European capitals, but he will be inheriting many problems from his predecessors – and is also unlikely to be as accommodating as the European Union may be hoping. However, the tone of the dialogue between Poland and the bloc will no doubt change. Its government's anti-German obsession will end, for instance. But can Tusk deliver a ...

12 December 2023

How Starmer seized the moral advantage

While the Tories squabble over the Rwanda plan, the Labour leader declares that he will lead a “decade of national renewal”.

By Freddie Hayward

The backdrop to Keir Starmer’s speech today (12 December) could not have been more illustrative. While the Labour leader spoke in Buckinghamshire castigating the Conservative Party for allowing internal skirmishes to override its responsibilities as a government, Tory MPs ferreted around Westminster, deciding whether to put Rishi Sunak’s leadership at risk by voting down his Rwanda bill in the Commons this evening. Starmer’s decision to deliver a speech away from Westminster was a smart way of showing that Labour will govern in the national interest. Whereas the Tories cannot even manage their own party. They are making it easy for Starmer. “While they're swanning around, self-importantly, with their factions and their star chambers, fighting like rats in a sack, there's a ...

12 December 2023

Labour is failing to build a new political consensus

The party’s self-imposed fiscal straitjacket risks alienating a popular majority.

By Adrian Pabst

In the wake of Brexit and the 2019 election when millions of working-class voters abandoned Labour for the Tories, there was much talk about a realignment of British politics. After years of right-wing economics and left-wing social reform, the new direction of travel would be “left on the economy” and “right on culture”. Gone were the days when both main parties offered little else than more market and greater individualism allied with a privatising, outsourcing state and less social solidarity. As prime minister, Boris Johnson declared the end of fiscal austerity and promised a generation of state-driven levelling up of "left behind" places. “F*** business” and “take back control” were the watchwords of this nascent post-liberal era. Yet it was a ...

11 December 2023

Rishi Sunak’s Covid inquiry performance showed why he’s struggling

The Prime Minister’s fluency is of little use to him as he struggles to contain a Tory mutiny.

By Rachel Cunliffe

This was a surreal day to watch Rishi Sunak at the Covid inquiry. The current Prime Minister of the United Kingdom giving evidence about his role as chancellor during the greatest national emergency in recent history should have been a blockbuster event. Instead, it was something of a side show. While Sunak faced the indefatigable Hugo Keith KC in that drab Paddington hearing room, the real drama lay three miles south, in Westminster, as the government’s flagship Rwanda plan was eviscerated by the European Research Group’s “star chamber”. The news that the band of right-wing Tory MPs instrumental in destroying Theresa May’s Brexit deal had rejected the Rwanda bill – a piece of legislation that declares the African country a safe ...

9 December 2023

Sunak’s insistence he’s in control only proves he’s not

The Prime Minister has been reduced to whining that the world won’t do what he wants.

By Jonn Elledge

In the period between spring 2017, when Theresa May called an unnecessary election and promptly lost her majority, and summer 2019, when she finally lost her job, the then prime minister got into a strange habit. Every few weeks, when her Brexit strategy hit yet another roadblock, word would go round that May was to make an intervention. The lectern would come out, rolling news crews would cut to footage of the closed door of 10 Downing Street, and everyone in the bubble would collectively hold their breath. A change of strategy? A resignation? Another snap election? What could we glean, from the choice or position of the lectern? What did it mean? Then finally, perhaps 45 minutes later than we’d ...