3 September 2021updated 08 Sep 2021 6:20pm

Why the government’s social care proposals could backfire

Increasing the number of people who are eligible for state-funded residential care will draw more attention to a broken system.

By Stephen Bush

FALMOUTH, ENGLAND - NOVEMBER 25: Della Lilley visits and holds her mother, 89-year old Betty Whiteman, for the first time in two months after successfully passing a rapid Covid-19 test at the King Charles Court Care Home, on November 25, 2020 in Falmouth, England. The home is one of 20 across Cornwall, Hampshire and Devon that are participating in a pilot programme using the Innova SARS-CoV-2 Antigen Rapid Qualitative test to screen residents' family members and friends for Covid-19, to permit more meaningful visits. (Photo by Hugh Hastings/Getty Images)

Boris Johnson will break his manifesto pledge not to increase National Insurance in order to pay for social care in England, under plans that are the subject of fraught and ongoing negotiations between Downing Street and the Treasury. The Telegraph’s Ben Riley-Smith has the inside scoop: Downing Street wants a 1 per cent increase (because then they would only be putting up National Insurance by the same amount as Tony Blair back in 2002) while the Treasury wants 1.25 per cent (because that would raise more money).

Any tax rise would be politically fraught because of that manifesto promise to leave National Insurance, value-added tax and income tax flat or falling, but while it would cause a lot of gnashing of teeth in parts of the Conservative Party and press, there is no serious prospect of it failing to pass the House of Commons.