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10 December 2019updated 08 Jun 2021 9:40am

All the polls agree: the Conservative lead has been slashed

By Stephen Bush

The polls all agree: in England and Wales, Labour is closing the gap on the Conservatives. YouGov’s MRP model, which correctly predicted a hung parliament in 2017, is the latest to show the same trend, with the Tories’ projected majority falling from over 60 seats to just under 30.

Although the Conservatives are the favourites, it really is all to play for.

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