With a week to go, if I were a betting man – which, unlike the entire political establishment, it seems, I’m not – I’d go for something like this: Scottish Labour, 30 seats, up from two, the SNP, 20, down from 43. The traditional polls, as opposed to the wildly swinging, often baffling MRPs, suggest the election result will be in this region.
A bad night for the Nats, and a transformative night for Labour. Still, it could be worse for the SNP (and, of course, perhaps it will be). The campaign has suggested that all is not yet lost for John Swinney and his team. The First Minister has so far failed to make his party popular again, or as popular as it once was, but that is a big and probably impossible task. He does seem, however, to have managed to halt its nosedive.
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