The Tories are still facing electoral apocalypse
Labour’s by-election triumphs in Wellingborough and Kingswood offer the Tories no cause for consolation.
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Polling
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Polling
How Labour’s path to a majority has eased
The party is now unlikely to need a Blair-style swing to achieve overall victory.
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The 2024 election looks nothing like 1992
The Conservatives were always in a far stronger position under John Major than they are under Rishi Sunak.
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Will Nigel Farage finally become an MP this year?
Polling suggests that the former Ukip leader could win in Clacton – but he would need to organise too.
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Is Reform UK really gifting Labour a majority?
Polling shows that it’s nonsense for the Tories to believe that supporters of Nigel Farage’s party will come to their…
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Who will win the Wellingborough by-election?
Though it’s tougher to win than Tamworth, winning it would put Labour on course for 420 seats.
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To win, the Tories need to defy electoral history
No governing party has ever won from a starting position as weak as the Conservatives’ currently is.
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Nigel Farage is one to watch in 2024
Among the new Tory base, the former Ukip leader is more popular than most cabinet ministers.
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