The polls are showing some strange numbers right now. Reform, according to my model Britain Elects, are tied with Labour for first place at 25 per cent each. The Conservatives are on 22 per cent. The Lib Dems on 13 per cent; the Greens are on eight. Council by-election results are giving credence to these numbers, too. These are not the product of overly logged-on, overly skewed samples. They are, it appears, a representative product of public opinion.
Labour, anxious about shedding votes to Reform, are running a series of adverts aping the party’s brand and rhetoric. The adverts boast about government deportations and use that familiar Reform shade of blue. The prevailing rhetoric is that Labour feels so under attack from the right that it feels it has to out-Farage Farage. Any MP worth their constituency’s salt would readily admit that their voters are more diverse than their party activists might appreciate. Liberal-minded MPs should know a not-insubstantial proportion of their vote is more socially conservative than they are. Because such is the case for most of the country.
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