It’s been more than a year since Rishi Sunak entered 10 Downing Street. Since he was an improvement on the nadir that was Liz Truss, commentators have, unsurprisingly, been questioning whether he will spur a Conservative recovery.
Yet thus far, nothing Sunak has done has improved the party’s chance of winning the next general election. Not the Windsor framework, not the Spring Statement, not “stop the boats”, or other policies announced by Suella Braverman. Nothing has changed the psephological reality that the Conservatives are expected to suffer a sizable defeat at the next general election, however unexciting Keir Starmer may seem.
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