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20 April 2017

Labour will fight two campaigns: one to win, and one to avoid blame for defeat

Corbyn's more pessimistic supporters and his opponents will fight a secondary election campaign: to convince the party membership that the expected defeat is not their fault. 

By Stephen Bush

Bliss is fleeting. The Labour leadership returned to Westminster after the Easter break, having dominated the recess with a series of eye-catching economic policy announcements. The best of these, such as a £10 minimum wage and free meals for primary school children, unified the party’s fractious tribes and sent a clear message about the kind of country Jeremy Corbyn wants to build. As a Labour source puts it, this is one “where we take from those with the most to do something for everybody”.

But although the policies are popular, the party and its leader are not. Labour consistently scores in the mid-to-low 20s in the polls, while the percentage of people who say that Corbyn would be a better prime minister than Theresa May hovers in the mid-teens. That points to the kind of election result seen across Europe in the past decade: the disintegration of the main party of the centre left and triumph for the centre right.

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