
I have done a U-Turn: or, perhaps more accurately, a 360-degree turn. Last Friday, when Sam Gyimah resigned from the government, I said that the chances of another referendum had gone up significantly.
There are at least 16 Labour MPs who would vote against another referendum, and that is a very conservative estimate. (All in all, 25 Labour MPs have rebelled against Jeremy Corbyn to deliver a harder Brexit than the one being offered by the leadership so far, but 16 represents the biggest single rebellion.) That means you’d need at least 21 Conservative rebels to overcome the combined might of the Conservative-DUP majority.