If the forecast is accurate, this election will write history like no other. Britain’s Conservative and Unionist Party – perhaps the most successful political force in the Western world – looks like it will be punished as never before. Recovery might not be impossible but it could be improbable for the foreseeable future.
Our final Britain Predicts forecast shows the Conservatives on course to lose 277 MPs, falling to just 114 seats in the House of Commons. Keir Starmer – unlike David Cameron or Tony Blair – doesn’t enjoy vast personal support. But he is nonetheless set to achieve Labour’s joint best election result with 418 MPs, 237 more than in 2019 – coincidentally the same figure achieved by Tony Blair in the 1997 landslide.
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