England will enter tonight’s European Championship semi-final against Denmark with a 70 per cent chance of winning, according to the Elo rating system. Denmark’s 30 per cent chance of victory is similar to Donald Trump’s likelihood of winning the US presidency in 2016.
England versus Denmark will be shown on ITV, not the BBC, and is expected to attract a domestic audience in excess of 20 million viewers. Some 20.9 million tuned in to watch England rout Ukraine 4-0 last Saturday (3 July) and 20.6 million watched England settle some scores with Germany in last month’s 2-0 win (the data excludes pubs and public viewing screens).
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