
We didn’t plan it like that. On the same day that the Conservatives launched their Welsh manifesto – alongside an appearance by Boris Johnson at the Royal Welsh Show’s Winter Fair, conveniently located in the key Tory target seat of Brecon and Radnor – the team behind the Welsh Political Barometer polls published its latest offering.
The poll (conducted by YouGov for ITV Wales and Cardiff University) showed Labour support in Wales rising nine points since the previous poll at the start of the campaign, and putting in considerable doubt the large-scale Welsh Conservative gains that had hitherto appeared plausible.