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28 September 2018

No, the Conservatives are not six points ahead

People need to stop getting excited about outlier polls, in one direction or another. 

By Stephen Bush

(Photo By Photo: Getty)

There is some excitement about the latest YouGov poll, which shows a Conservative lead of six points over Labour.

I know I’m at risk of sounding like a broken record on this, but really, it is just one poll and we should always treat any one-off polling with caution, particularly when the rest of the polls are showing the same post-election pattern: ie, deadlock.

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