US presidential election 2020: map Trump and Biden’s remaining paths to victory

Explore the remaining possible outcomes of Tuesday's election.

By Jeremy Cliffe, Josh Rayman and Ben Walker

A sign directs voters to an early voting polling location at Dockweiler Beach for the 2020 Presidential election in Los Angeles, California, U.S., on Thursday, Oct. 29, 2020. With eight days until the election, 59.4 million people have cast ballots in-person at early voting centers or by mail, according to the U.S. Elections Project. Photographer: Patrick T. Fallon/Bloomberg via Getty Images

With just a handful of key states left to declare, can Joe Biden beat Donald Trump to a winning 270 electoral college votes in the 2020 presidential election? Our New Statesman results model still has him as the favourite to win the presidency but victory is far from as assured as it was going into polling day.

There are just a handful of states left to declare in this year’s race but each candidate still has a realistic path to victory after Biden failed to flip states such as Florida and Texas – areas that had been thought to be in contention.

It’s possible the final result won’t be known for a few days, leaving the anxiously watching public with nothing better to do than run through the electoral college permutations in their heads.

What do you expect from the final result? Input your assumptions about the states on our interactive map above to see whether they make Trump or Biden the winner. And for the result itselt, follow our live results coverage on Twitter and our US election hub, on election day from 6pm ET / 11pm GMT.

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Jeremy Cliffe

@JeremyCliffe

Jeremy Cliffe is a Contributing Writer. Between 2019 and 2023 he was International Editor and Writer at Large at the New Statesman. This followed an eight-year career at The Economist during which he served as Bagehot and Charlemagne columnist, and bureau chief in Brussels and Berlin.

Josh Rayman

@joshrayman

Josh Rayman is a visual journalist at New Statesman Media Group.

Ben Walker

@bnhwalker

Ben Walker is a senior data journalist at the New Statesman and writes extensively about elections and UK public opinion. He is the co-founder of poll aggregator Britain Elects.