The latest Times/YouGov poll has Labour stretching its lead to eight points over the Conservatives, with 46 per cent to 38 per cent. It means that the month following the election is Labour’s best in the polls since before the invasion of Iraq.
Labour just needs a one-point swing to gain 30 seats from the Conservatives, and with that form a comfortable if not commanding minority government – the Conservatives need just a one point swing from Labour to gain 29 seats and a majority in the Commons. Labour’s eight-point lead is well in excess of what the party needs to be in minority or even narrow majority territory.
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