Last week’s Welsh poll showing a substantial revival in Labour fortunes was, we now know, not a fluke. Nor was it as some people – including me – suspected at the time, largely down to pangs of sympathy for the party after the untimely passing of Rhodri Morgan. Today’s latest Welsh Political Barometer poll confirms the Labour fightback in the staunchest of its bastions.
This has been an erratic election in Wales. The first two polls of the campaign showed clear Conservative leads, and indicated that the Tories were on course for an historic electoral breakthrough. But the last two polls have given Labour substantial leads. The Welsh polls have followed the broad direction of travel seen in the Britain-wide surveys, but with more exaggerated movements in both directions – going sharply further to the Tories at the start of the campaign, and strongly back to Labour in the last fortnight.
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