One of the good things about elections is they are a good opportunity to stress-test your assumptions. Here are five of mine, written down so if they come unspooled I won’t be able to go back on them.
I’m a bit of a sceptic about the effect that general election campaigns have in terms of deciding the outcome. Mostly the rival campaigns cancel each other out, and what really matters are the opinions set about politicians over the long haul.
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