The pollster changes, but the poll remains the same: Leave is pulling ahead in the referendum vote. The latest shock to the system comes via ICM, in which both their phone and online polling gives Brexit a six-point lead by 53 to 47 per cent. The latest YouGov poll for the Times is starker still: a seven-point lead for Brexit. The mood in the pro-European campaign, already less than sunny, has been driven further into the gloom.
I started the year in a fairly pessimistic position as far as the referendum was concerned, but there are, amid the gnashing of teeth, reasons to believe that the only way isn’t exit.
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