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  1. Politics
3 January 2014

Why the Tories shouldn’t assume that history means they’ll win in 2015

Past trends suggest the Tories should overtake Labour, but history is a less helpful guide to this election than any other.

By George Eaton

After the Tories ended 2013 trailing Labour in the polls for the fourth Christmas in a row, former Downing Street strategist Andrew Cooper (the founder of Populus) his attempted to raise his party’s spirits by posting a series of electoral stats that appear to suggest Miliband is destined for defeat in 2015. They are: 

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