There is a significant body of opinion in the Conservative Party that will not be satisfied until David Cameron finally supports what they really crave: unilateral withdrawal from the EU. That group has now won its most significant recruit in the form of Nigel Lawson. In a 2,000 word essay in today’s Times, the fomer Tory chancellor writes that the EU has become “a bureaucratic monstrosity” that imposes “substantial economic costs” on its members, and that “the case for exit is clear”. Having voted in favour of membership in the 1975 referendum, Lawson declares that he will vote “out” in 2017.
For Cameron, already struggling to fend off demands for an early EU “mandate referendum” after UKIP’s performance in the county council elections, the intervention could not come at a worse time. The Prime Minister’s strategy is premised on the belief that the UK can use the euro crisis to repatriate major powers from Brussels, but Lawson warns that he is doomed to fail. In the most damaging section of the piece, Thatcher’s former chancellor writes “that that any changes that Mr Cameron — or, for that matter, Ed Miliband — is able to secure” will be “inconsequential”. He points out that the changes that Harold Wilson (who similarly renegotiated Britain’s membership before staging an in/out referendum) was able to secure were “so trivial that I doubt if anyone today can remember what they were”. Cameron, he suggests, will do no better.
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