With two days to go until the local elections, the UKIP wave shows no signs of receding. The latest YouGov poll puts the party on a record high of 14 per cent, while ComRes has them on 13 per cent.
The surge in support for Nigel Farage’s party means the Tories are prepared for losses well in excess of the 350 seats forecast by election gurus Rallings and Thrasher. The figure of 800 seats that appears in today’s Sun can almost certainly be dismissed as expectation management but it’s not unreasonable to suggest that the party, which currently holds 26 of the 27 county councils up for election, could lose between 500 and 600.