David Cameron is increasingly keen to draw attention to what he calls the coalition’s “achievements”: cutting the deficit by a quarter, capping benefits, creating hundreds of new academies, reforming public sector pensions and so on. We learned today that the government will shortly publish a “mid-term review” highlighting its “successes”. But the IMF has just provided a reminder of one of the coalition’s failures: its inability to generate growth.
In its latest World Economic Outlook, the Fund downgraded its forecast for UK growth by more than any other G8 country. It now expects the UK to grow by just 0.2 per cent this year (down from a previous forecast of 0.8 per cent) and by 1.4 per cent next year (down from 2 per cent). The Q2 GDP figures, which will be released this month, will almost certainly show that we remain in recession, a further blow to George Osborne’s diminished authority.
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