Regular readers of the magazine, and of the NS blogs, will be aware that my colleague James Macintyre and I have been banging on for a while about the “soft” Tory lead and the muddled media’s desire to crown Cameron now, rather than wait for the verdict of a general election next year. We’ve long predicted that the Tory poll lead will shrink, that Brown’s performances will improve as the election nears and that the prospects will increase for a hung parliament — or, at least, a Tory victory that falls short of a working majority.
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